US Central Command struck Iranian coastal surveillance radar at Goruk in Hormozgan province and follow-on targets at Qeshm Island on June 5-6, in response to four IRGC one-way attack drones fired toward the Strait of Hormuz. All drones were intercepted. CENTCOM denied Iranian claims of a retaliatory strike on the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain.

Goruk is a new target. The site provides maritime domain awareness and targeting support for Iran’s Noor and Qader coastal defense missile batteries covering the eastern Strait approach. Its destruction reduces IRGC precision for anti-ship engagements against the USS George H.W. Bush carrier strike group operating in the Gulf of Oman.

The June 3-6 pattern - Qeshm command infrastructure (June 3), Goruk radar and Qeshm again (June 5-6) - points to a deliberate sequential degradation campaign against IRGC Hormuz-interdiction capability, not reflexive self-defense. This is CENTCOM’s fourth+ announced strike since the April 13 ceasefire.

Iran’s most probable response within 48-72 hours: proxy harassment acceleration in Iraq or Yemen, or opportunistic mine-laying in the northern Hormuz transit lane while IRGC sensor coverage is degraded. A direct strike against the CSG remains unlikely - degraded IRGC targeting data reduces effectiveness and risks triggering a full air campaign resumption.

Watch: IRGC fast-boat concentration near Qeshm or Bandar Abbas; AIS gaps in the northern Hormuz shipping lane; JWC exclusion zone map update expected June 7-9; Omani or Qatari FM movement toward Tehran.